Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.742984 0.847977 0.962307 1.096026 1.248125 1.415746 1.614501
2025-03-09 0.575377 0.717370 0.885782 1.100182 1.365865 1.684344 2.095293
2025-03-16 0.481841 0.638683 0.836039 1.102454 1.452706 1.897605 2.506099
2025-03-23 0.420436 0.586039 0.804777 1.114604 1.542152 2.111600 2.928434
2025-03-30 0.361835 0.526968 0.754505 1.090579 1.574314 2.245696 3.249434
2025-04-06 0.315690 0.478233 0.710862 1.067613 1.600883 2.368831 3.560262
2025-04-13 0.274292 0.430813 0.662752 1.030911 1.600610 2.449191 3.811097
2025-04-20 0.262983 0.426976 0.677862 1.088871 1.745356 2.753893 4.423488
2025-04-27 0.251281 0.420855 0.688149 1.139180 1.881281 3.054770 5.054583
2025-05-04 0.239555 0.413170 0.694663 1.183099 2.009548 3.352505 5.704508
2025-05-11 0.223880 0.397101 0.685611 1.199720 2.093104 3.582960 6.260972
2025-05-18 0.202242 0.368520 0.652722 1.172280 2.098555 3.682214 6.600808
2025-05-25 0.184696 0.345833 0.628532 1.158857 2.129069 3.830005 7.044601
2025-06-01 0.171479 0.329693 0.614400 1.162060 2.189434 4.034998 7.609130
2025-06-08 0.159571 0.314711 0.600782 1.164502 2.247804 4.239903 8.189327
2025-06-15 0.150227 0.303637 0.593241 1.177328 2.326099 4.486640 8.867623
2025-06-22 0.137105 0.283833 0.567250 1.151963 2.328281 4.589692 9.277078
2025-06-29 0.125455 0.265824 0.543055 1.127718 2.330010 4.690989 9.690013
2025-07-06 0.113416 0.245832 0.513099 1.088969 2.298787 4.724278 9.967552
2025-07-13 0.112566 0.249274 0.530915 1.150160 2.477600 5.191366 11.173595
2025-07-20 0.110828 0.250613 0.544412 1.203272 2.643696 5.645036 12.388478
2025-07-27 0.108469 0.250347 0.554429 1.249638 2.799010 6.087905 13.616146
2025-08-03 0.103746 0.244324 0.551477 1.267185 2.892709 6.406946 14.599588